Mafia 4: Iron Realms ULTIMATE SHOWDOWN

by Shamarah

Back to The Real World.

Thul2008-06-27 18:24:37
QUOTE(Karnagan @ Jun 27 2008, 01:16 PM) 526687
Thank you, Thul. I should suggest that Ryleth give his roleclaim now: if there is a vigilante out there, he probably has Ryleth under the gun for later tonight.


sleep.gif

Seriously. Yes or no question, here. Are you a vigilante? Just go ahead and say it. The hinting is getting irritating.
Karnagan2008-06-27 18:31:14
Nope. I am hoping to point the vigilante in the direction of suspicious characters, though.
Unknown2008-06-27 20:37:59
Hey all,
I forgot to post that I was going out to deal with some army enlistment issues. I'm back. I'll read and handle the last couple pages of posts presently.
Thul2008-06-27 20:57:00
Welcome back, Visaeris. Please note the 7-man lynch team that has been attached to your buttocks in your absence, and act accordingly.

I, for one, would appreciate some solid information to work with. And cookies if you have some. But mostly information.
Hazar2008-06-27 21:02:49
I'm looking forward to the information Ryleth and Visaeris should be presenting.
Rika2008-06-27 21:05:03
Now.. where has Visaeris disappeared to? sleep.gif
Unknown2008-06-27 21:05:29
Ok, just to address some issues before I go take a nap. Boy you guys sure got roped in by Karnagan's nonsense.

I'm looking at his posts and I see this pattern of absolutely inane claims and completely wrong arguments. For example,

QUOTE(Karnagan @ Jun 27 2008, 10:06 AM) 526667
Man o man. Like Visaeris, you seem invested in the concept that the dude who threw out a judgement is from another realm. As I've said earlier: it's entirely plausible that there might be a second scum faction. But I still say that we should be regarding the Celestian as one of our own- not denying the dude assistance like Visaeris would have us do.


What? I've never ever claimed that the person is from another realm. I think it is likely that they are Lusternian, given that the judgement message is unique(?) to Lusternia. My position has simply been that we cannot demonstrate beyond a doubt that it's a realm game. It probably is, and there's a 60-70% chance, but I will not operate on the sole basis of a 60-70% chance when we're dealing with extremely important lynch votes.

In any case, you people have seen my play style. I don't jump to assumptions, and while there is a pattern of Lusternia vs Else, the amount of datapoints is inconsistent to make a definitive conclusion. Ergo, I have repeatedly cautioned against assuming anything. I'm inclined to think that it probably is Lusternia vs Else, but I won't go so far as to leap to using that as my sole argumentation for who's doing what.

QUOTE(Karnagan @ Jun 26 2008, 06:29 PM) 526467
Like I said. Visaeris blocked the angel vote. Now it becomes clear that the scum very much wanted this to happen, as there's a vigilante out there who is on our side. As scum, Visaeris also wants us to not protect the Celestine- why? Because that killer is going to attack anyone who seems scummy, and certainly will if they have Investigate powers, or can talk with someone who has those powers.


You know what's exceedingly interesting about this point? It's a lovely piece of backwards looking voting. I voted against the Angel vote before there was any evidence that hinted at a Celestine/Paladin. The fact that Xavius also voted against it is an irrelevant coincidence. I voted against it because doublevotes :censor: things up(see: Xavius' game) and that was the only way I read the envoy proposal. There was no Celestine kill message night 0, so how was I supposed to know?

QUOTE

Again- why is Visaeris trying to cast doubt on the Lusternian? Because he's scum and wants to make sure we lose. I'd feel a little better about this if his interests hadn't previously intersected with Xavius', who we definitely know was Mafia.
Or because I don't make logical jumps. You know, one of the two.

QUOTE
I'm telling you- if Visaeris is REALLY looking for a chance that someone could be a Mafia, as opposed to the idea that we need to find and kill a townie, she's suspicious. Heck, she was one of the first people to jump on the anti-angel train. And now it's quite clear that the man with the angel is going to be saving our lives as a town.


Sure, she is suspicious, but just because I haven't downed the koolaid and jumped at her throat and have, instead, asked a simple question, I must be mafia.. right? rolleyes.gif

QUOTE(Furien @ Jun 26 2008, 06:58 PM) 526489
On that part, agreed. Also suspicious, now, of Vis talking about the Celestine SK who likely never was an SK and is actually a Vigilante, which we need.


I've never, that I can recall, said that it's a Celestine SK, I've simply said it could be a Celestine SK. It could be a Vigilante. I don't feel there's sufficient evidence to make a conclusion either way at this point.

What I see is Karnagan pedaling some excellent hogwash, but no one really questioning it. He's making these arguments that I'm claiming the judger is from another realm, or the judger is an SK. The first is completely wrong, and the second is.. well completely wrong. My position this whole time has simply been that we cannot afford to leap to assuming anything because Shamarah is devious and assumptions get people killed.

I'm especially disappointed in people like Xenthos who fell sway to the fallacies Karnagan's pedalling. His particular brand is, I believe, known as affirming the consequent. Let me illustrate:

People who vote against our side are on the enemy side
Day 1 Visaeris voted against Angels
A Lusternian with an angel is on our side(an assumption, but we'll run with it)
Day 2 we learn that there's likely a Lusternian with an Angel on our side

THEREFORE Visaeris is on the enemy side.

The fact that I voted wrong in hindsight does not make me an enemy.

Not exactly a rocksolid proof but I've been up since 3am and I only got an hour of sleep. Plus some old doctor handled my junk and checked out my anus :<

In any case!

This post is dragging on, so I'll cut to the chase. I believe that a lot of the votes against me wouldn't have been lodged had I been able to actually refute the accusations in real time, and my absence worked against me.

As such, I'm not going to roleclaim just yet. I'm going to ask that people hold off on the lynching and digest my counterpoints and if there's still a belief that I have not sufficiently defended myself, I'll go ahead and cough up the pretty skillsets.

Sound good?
Rika2008-06-27 21:06:10
Oh, he's got invisible on. I think that's highly scummy by itself.
Unknown2008-06-27 21:06:25
Oh and I'd just like to go ahead and say compliments to Karnagan on the rhetoric. I'm impressed, you really channeled me on that one.
Hazar2008-06-27 21:15:07
Your points are singularly unimpressive. They just kinda flirt around things, point and yell at Karnagan, and refer to logical fallacies which should damn your own assertions thrice over. I want a roleclaim. That was censor.gif .

We know you can give us a song and dance. We've seen it before. We're not interested. Give us something of substance. We're not giving you time to make up a false roleclaim.
Hazar2008-06-27 21:16:42
Just to reiterate that point: the more time we let him avoid roleclaiming, the more he can refine a false one.
Unknown2008-06-27 21:16:52
QUOTE(Hazar @ Jun 27 2008, 02:15 PM) 526725
Your points are singularly unimpressive. They just kinda flirt around things, point and yell at Karnagan, and refer to logical fallacies which should damn your own assertions thrice over. I want a roleclaim. That was censor.gif .

We know you can give us a song and dance. We've seen it before. We're not interested. Give us something of substance. We're not giving you time to make up a false roleclaim.


Really? That's funny, because his posts are simply flirting around things and yelling at Karnagan.

Did you even read my post? The part where I talk about how his whole argument is think of the angels while ignoring the fact that the angel vote came before there was any evidence suggesting a Celestine?
Silvanus2008-06-27 21:18:55
QUOTE(Hazar @ Jun 27 2008, 04:15 PM) 526725
We know you can give us a song and dance. We've seen it before. We're not interested. Give us something of substance. We're not giving you time to make up a false roleclaim.

Why not? You gave everybody else time so far, and last time we lynched Daganev (ok I know, Moondancer?).

I don't think the town needs to jump to hasty conclusions again after him just getting back.

Third, you are a little jumpy on the trigger button.

The only thing I'd defend Visaeris about is the angel vote only because I played last game, and it got confusing and Rika got lynched accidently and it just seemed best to avoid it this game. Not to mention, I come from Aetolia and I figured there has to be Luminaries because I know Shamarah plays Aetolia (I'm just sitll bitter towards Lumies).
Hazar2008-06-27 21:19:28
I'm not digging this 'Anounymous User' crap, either. Visit the thread in public like the rest of us.

Yes, at the time, we knew nothing about angels. The mafia, however, would know what it had, and Karnagan's saying that led them to vote against the angels. Tracking inside information is an important part of mafia. I think his point makes sense.

Try again.
Unknown2008-06-27 21:21:01
QUOTE(Hazar @ Jun 27 2008, 02:19 PM) 526729
I'm not digging this 'Anounymous User' crap, either. Visit the thread in public like the rest of us.

Yes, at the time, we knew nothing about angels. The mafia, however, would know what it had, and Karnagan's saying that led them to vote against the angels. Tracking inside information is an important part of mafia. I think his point makes sense.

Try again.


I voted against the angels because I don't believe in double votes.

They fucked up last game.

(This is repeating things from my post which you evidently didn't read).
Rika2008-06-27 21:21:40
Look, Visaeris has turned forum invisibility on (so we can't see if he's online or not). We should just finish him now before he can falseclaim.
Hazar2008-06-27 21:23:05
Hate to point this out, but the town pretty much won last game. There just happened to be a particularly insidious cult.

Anytime you want, lurkers. I think we have a clear case.
Unknown2008-06-27 21:23:07
QUOTE(rika @ Jun 27 2008, 02:21 PM) 526731
Look, Visaeris has turned forum invisibility on (so we can't see if he's online or not). We should just finish him now before he can falseclaim.


I've had invisibility on for a very very long time.

Also, I find it amusing that you guys think time matters any in making a roleclaim. If I wanted to falseclaim I would have done so the moment I made my post. I'm more than intelligent enough to write a roleclaim in a minute or two tops, so 35 minutes is cake.

Hazar2008-06-27 21:24:48
Look! It's pettifoggery again. Don't let him distract you.
Hazar2008-06-27 21:26:11
Silvanus, Ayisdra, I'm looking at both of you.