Calixa2011-06-06 10:53:44
QUOTE (Zarquan @ Jun 5 2011, 04:04 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I got gold... again. I think the Universe is mocking me. "Do you have tons of cash? Here! Have some more!"
Please send me your excess gold. This kind service will solve your problem, making us both happier. Win-win!
And another 1% experience for me today.
Ilyarin2011-06-06 17:44:28
If anyone is curious, here are my estimates of the relative chance of each prize:
CODE
                    Lesson Gain : 30.0%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
Neos2011-06-06 17:53:05
QUOTE (Ilyarin @ Jun 6 2011, 01:44 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
If anyone is curious, here are my estimates of the relative chance of each prize:
CODE
                    Lesson Gain : 30.0%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
Gah, math! It hurts my sensibilities! :seenoevil:
Sylphas2011-06-06 18:19:03
Seems like an odd distribution, in that the Dagger is worth far more than the lips.
Unknown2011-06-06 18:45:51
QUOTE (Ilyarin @ Jun 6 2011, 06:44 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
If anyone is curious, here are my estimates of the relative chance of each prize:
CODE
                    Lesson Gain : 30.0%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
Inaccurate results! Get back in that cave! >.>
Seriously, though. 0.5% chance? That's pretty damned low.
How many spins did you evaluate in the end for that data?
Ilyarin2011-06-06 19:13:22
That's from just under 1000 data points.
Unknown2011-06-06 19:14:09
For those who weren't hating me yet from the gold thing... I got a rune today.
Unknown2011-06-06 19:26:10
QUOTE (Zarquan @ Jun 5 2011, 11:04 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I got gold... again. I think the Universe is mocking me. "Do you have tons of cash? Here! Have some more!"
I love getting gold on my alts! Especially when I don't have any.
Unknown2011-06-06 20:13:12
My alts have mostly gotten Truefavours. 
Lendren2011-06-06 20:25:48
Criticals are only 4%? Why do I keep getting them, then?
Unknown2011-06-07 00:06:31
QUOTE
You grasp the edge of the Wheel of Tzaraziko before giving it a heavy push,
sending it spinning. Slow at first, the wheel begins to spin faster and faster,
the air about it warping in a wild array of colours as it becomes impossible to
watch.
960h, 552m, 570e, 10p, 2850en, 1950w ex-
Your karma rises in response to your deeds.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 11.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 12.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 13.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 14.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 15.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 16.
You have reached the illustrious level of Audacious.
You have received 5 Bound Credits!
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding
you with Experience Gain.
sending it spinning. Slow at first, the wheel begins to spin faster and faster,
the air about it warping in a wild array of colours as it becomes impossible to
watch.
960h, 552m, 570e, 10p, 2850en, 1950w ex-
Your karma rises in response to your deeds.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 11.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 12.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 13.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 14.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 15.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 16.
You have reached the illustrious level of Audacious.
You have received 5 Bound Credits!
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding
you with Experience Gain.
I jumped out of my skin.
Casilu2011-06-07 00:18:29
QUOTE (Ilyarin @ Jun 6 2011, 10:44 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
If anyone is curious, here are my estimates of the relative chance of each prize:
CODE
                    Lesson Gain : 30.0%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
                            Gold : 20.0%
      a 4-hour Divine Truefavour : 20.0%
                Experience Gain : 20.0%
        Increased Critical Hits :  4.0%
                  Bound Credits :  2.0%
                        Dingbats :  2.0%
  a Great Rune of Glass Working :  1.0%
      a dagger of reincarnation :  0.5%
  a pair of kissable golden lips :  0.5%
Fail. I demand to see your calculated error within 95% certainty.
Also, I got dingbats.
Ixion2011-06-07 06:33:48
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding you with a dagger of reincarnation. Somehow I felt like it would be a dagger. *creepy music*
Unknown2011-06-07 08:27:12
QUOTE (Zarquan @ Jun 6 2011, 09:13 PM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
My alts have mostly gotten Truefavours.
Shame you never got gold
Unknown2011-06-07 08:28:16
QUOTE (Ixion @ Jun 7 2011, 07:33 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding you with a dagger of reincarnation. Somehow I felt like it would be a dagger. *creepy music*
Do want!
Ilyarin2011-06-07 09:21:20
I'm pretty sure I said estimates and not statistically significant conclusions.
Neos2011-06-07 09:23:41
QUOTE (Ilyarin @ Jun 7 2011, 05:21 AM) <{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'm pretty sure I said estimates and not statistically significant conclusions.
All I read was
QUOTE (Ilyarin)
math math math math more math too much math
then blacked out
Calixa2011-06-07 13:48:27
Crit bonus today.
Unknown2011-06-08 00:21:43
Today: Experience Gain x2, the second one resulting in this:
Your karma rises in response to your deeds.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 17.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 18.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 19.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 20.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 21.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 22.
You have reached the illustrious level of Robust.
You have received 5 Bound Credits!
It is time for you to stand on your own! You lose the Grace of Innocence
forever.
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding
you with Experience Gain.
As well as gold and lessons.
Your karma rises in response to your deeds.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 17.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 18.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 19.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 20.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 21.
Your soul cries out in ecstasy as it reaches new heights of power. You have
advanced to level 22.
You have reached the illustrious level of Robust.
You have received 5 Bound Credits!
It is time for you to stand on your own! You lose the Grace of Innocence
forever.
The Wheel of Tzaraziko crackles with a brilliant display of colours, rewarding
you with Experience Gain.
As well as gold and lessons.
Gleip2011-06-09 23:06:57
Got a rune of glassworking!
