Yes. There was a 50% chance that any lurkers except Mog would have been killed if they were scum. We have much less than 50% assurance that the people who kept voting are town.

50% could go either way and isn't proof(goddamnit I hate %s in these games) but it's still a reason.

It's not a reason unless it happens enough times to make it a reason.

What? It can only happen once, I thought.

Just in case I didn't do it already,

UNVOTE

Don't feel like losing the Aqua Rake, and Kira was rather close to getting lynched. Plus I'm tired, and it's effing freezing outside

power says once a day does it not?

Tervic, just unvoting doesn't move the game along...

No, but it does keep the game from moving in a direction I find undesirable. As previously stated, Kira was 2 votes from lynch, and I'm not so sure I want to take that risk anymore. After further review, I'd rather prod either Rika for reckless behaviour or Shiri for smelling like wet badger.

Also, I'm running crazy experiments today and don't have time to mash F5 the way I did yesterday.

Official last warning for those who aren't playing. If you can't manage 2.5 posts per day, you're getting replaced. If it looks like you're posting contentless posts to keep yourself just barely at 2.5 posts per day, I'm replacing you anyways.

Can we get a post-count, then? I don't really feel there's anything to add at this point, since it's all speculation anyways.

VOTE: NO LYNCH

Let's get to night. I want better odds than 2 in 16.

Post count:
rika 47
Shiri 43
casilu 31
daganev 30
Xavius 23
Tervic 23
Kiradawea 20
Vendetta Morendo 17
Silferras 16
thisismydisplayname 15
Vhaas 11
Dugan Diluculo 9
diamondais 9
Romertien 7
Furien 3
Solanis 3
Shaddus Mes'ard 1

Vote count:
Dugan - Voting Kira
Shiri - Not voting
Diamondais - Not voting
Casilu - Voting Shiri
Daganev - Voting Shiri
Rika - Voting Kira
Silferras - Not voting
Tervic - Not Voting
Romertien - Voting no lynch
Kiradawea - Not voting
Vendetta - Not voting
Furien - Not voting
thisismydisplayname - Not voting
No lynch

EDIT: Took Solanis out of the list. Dead and all that, you know.

Erm what? Normally this is grounds for lynching

What? First people suspected Shiri, now they're suspecting Kira. There's no hard evidence today, so let's wait for tomorrow, let our watcher-people watch, see what we see, and go with some hard information. I don't want to lynch a townie, which we have a 1 in 8 chance of doing, and as no scum-types have actively revealed themselves, I don't see a reason to vote for a lynch.

"Once during the day, you may PM the mod with your intention to start charging your technique."

I can see why you would read that as "once a day", but I read it as "once a game, during the day."

And how do you plan to confirm/deny 2 people in one night?

Shiri also suspects Casilu, so now that's 3 people.

The odds don't improve if you wait the night, they only get worse.

How do they improve? Right now, we've got a shot in the dark. I don't want to take a shot in the dark. If I wait overnight, we can tail somebody, I can investigate somebody, we can look and see who targets somebody... there's a lot we can do to improve our odds during the night.

I would think that the scum would be the most wanting to get a lynch day one, as they have a 7/8 chance of hitting townie, more if they can convince the rest of us to vote their way.

Once a day.

Oh, that's really nice. Ok, that improves our information intake substantially if Rika doesn't cop it tonight (hint, Dugan.)

Incidentally, it just occured to me that we have no idea whether Rika actually did do the move she claimed, that could easily have been a regular kill of some kind and ganked Solanis to preserve herself. So maybe she could do with investigating too.

6/7, actually. Though, it's better than a 0/14 chance of hitting scum.

We have a SK and an arsonist. They can possibly win with the town never lynching anybody. The scum can even use their non-scum powers once in a while just to throw everybody off.

We have three investigation roles. Why do we need to lynch day 1?

Two that target the person in question, however. The third you have to guess who they will target that night.